{"id":20021,"date":"2024-07-02T17:08:02","date_gmt":"2024-07-02T10:08:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/?p=20021"},"modified":"2024-07-02T17:08:02","modified_gmt":"2024-07-02T10:08:02","slug":"nha-giao-dich-dau-du-doan-luong-du-tru-se-giam-manh-trong-quy-3","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/nha-giao-dich-dau-du-doan-luong-du-tru-se-giam-manh-trong-quy-3\/","title":{"rendered":"Nh\u00e0 Giao D\u1ecbch D\u1ea7u D\u1ef1 \u0110o\u00e1n L\u01b0\u1ee3ng D\u1ef1 Tr\u1eef S\u1ebd Gi\u1ea3m M\u1ea1nh Trong Qu\u00fd 3"},"content":{"rendered":"

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 trong th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u00e0 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u0111ang t\u0103ng cao, tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef d\u1ea7u \u0111ang ph\u00ecnh to.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u00f3 t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111ang mong \u0111\u1ee3i t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng cung h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch cao h\u01a1n trong v\u00e0i th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 cung v\u01b0\u1ee3t c\u1ea7u trong qu\u00fd 2, OPEC v\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111ang d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t l\u1edbn trong qu\u00fd 3, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef gi\u1ea3m nhanh k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i v\u00e0 m\u1ed1c th\u1eddi gian n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb l\u00f9i l\u1ea1i nhi\u1ec1u l\u1ea7n do nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0 mong \u0111\u1ee3i.<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o cho nhu c\u1ea7u d\u1ea7u trong qu\u00fd 3 kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5y kh\u1ea3 quan, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o ra \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 th\u1ee5t l\u00f9i kh\u00e1c.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ph\u00ecnh to<\/b><\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai Brent th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean g\u1ea7n 87 USD\/th\u00f9ng, m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng T\u01b0, khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch v\u1eabn lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra xung \u0111\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng khai gi\u1eefa Israel v\u00e0 Iran.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai g\u1ea7n k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n \u0111ang t\u0103ng nhanh h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng giao sau, v\u1edbi ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai Brent 6 th\u00e1ng \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean m\u1ee9c l\u00f9i (backwardation) h\u01a1n 4 USD\/th\u00f9ng, t\u0103ng so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 2 USD\/th\u00f9ng c\u1ee7a th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng l\u00f9i gi\u00e1 d\u1ed1c n\u00e0y, \u1edf m\u1ee9c ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m th\u1ee9 92 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf k\u1ef7 cho t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c ng\u00e0y giao d\u1ecbch, th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7t nhanh ch\u00f3ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, thay v\u00ec gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111\u00e3 t\u00edch t\u1ee5 trong hai th\u00e1ng qua, tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi xu h\u01b0\u1edbng theo m\u00f9a, cho th\u1ea5y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang cung v\u01b0\u1ee3t c\u1ea7u thay v\u00ec thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3, d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 7 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng trong 9 tu\u1ea7n k\u1ebft th\u00fac v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 21 th\u00e1ng 6, so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m trung b\u00ecnh 10 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng trong c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a 10 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/span><\/p>\n

K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 cao h\u01a1n 6 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng (+2% ho\u1eb7c +0,12 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n) so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh theo m\u00f9a 10 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 21 th\u00e1ng 6, x\u00f3a b\u1ecf m\u1ee9c thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t 11 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng (-2% ho\u1eb7c -0,22 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n) v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 19 th\u00e1ng 4.<\/span><\/p>\n

G\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y x\u1ea3y ra t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y l\u1ecdc d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 b\u1ec3 ch\u1ee9a \u1edf V\u1ecbnh Mexico, ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00edch h\u1ee3p ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd nh\u1ea5t v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/span><\/p>\n

L\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u1edf V\u1ecbnh Mexico \u0111\u00e3 cao h\u01a1n 25 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng (+10% ho\u1eb7c +0,79 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n) so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh 10 n\u0103m v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 21 th\u00e1ng 6, t\u0103ng so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 8 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng (+3% ho\u1eb7c +0,23 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n) ch\u00edn tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3.<\/span><\/p>\n

L\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u1edf V\u1ecbnh Mexico \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao th\u1ee9 hai \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn trong c\u00f9ng th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2020, khi l\u00e0n s\u00f3ng \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch COVID-19 khi\u1ebfn nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p n\u00e0y v\u00e0o kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 giao ngay t\u0103ng, l\u00f9i gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef c\u0169ng xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u1edf v\u00f9ng Trung T\u00e2y, n\u01a1i \u0111i\u1ec3m giao h\u00e0ng cho h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng NYMEX WTI n\u1eb1m \u1edf Cushing, Oklahoma.<\/span><\/p>\n

L\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef t\u1ea1i Cushing th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 10 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng (-22% ho\u1eb7c -0,66 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n) so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh theo m\u00f9a v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 21 th\u00e1ng 6, kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t 12 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng (-27% ho\u1eb7c -0,89 \u0111\u1ed9 l\u1ec7ch chu\u1ea9n) v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 15 th\u00e1ng 12.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai WTI 3 th\u00e1ng t\u1ea1i Cushing \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c l\u00f9i gi\u00e1 h\u01a1n 2 USD\/th\u00f9ng, so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c contango 88 cent v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 12.<\/span><\/p>\n

t\u1ea1i Cushing th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng l\u00f9i gi\u00e1 h\u1eb9p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u.<\/span><\/p>\n

Thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t s\u1eafp t\u1edbi?<\/b><\/p>\n

Nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh do m\u00f9a du l\u1ecbch h\u00e8 s\u00f4i \u0111\u1ed9ng d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn nhu c\u1ea7u x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng cao t\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng thay v\u00ec gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef x\u0103ng d\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 gia t\u0103ng trong ba th\u00e1ng qua, cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y l\u1ecdc d\u1ea7u \u0111ang s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u v\u00e0 s\u1ebd bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 21 th\u00e1ng 6, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef x\u0103ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 1 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng (+1%) so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh 10 n\u0103m, x\u00f3a b\u1ecf m\u1ee9c thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t 6 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng (-2%) v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 15 th\u00e1ng 3.<\/span><\/p>\n

Bi\u00ean l\u1ee3i l\u1ecdc d\u1ea7u t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t x\u0103ng v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u diesel t\u1eeb d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 WTI \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 3 v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang b\u1eb1ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, cho th\u1ea5y d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4, gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u00e0 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00e3 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh trong ba th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef gi\u1ea3m \u00edt h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn, \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1o ra \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u00e0 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 8 ho\u1eb7c th\u00e1ng 9.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cre: Reuters – bi\u00ean so\u1ea1n b\u1edfi EDU TRADE<\/span><\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 trong th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng gi\u1eefa gi\u00e1 giao ngay v\u00e0 ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u0111ang t\u0103ng cao, tr\u00e1i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1edbi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef d\u1ea7u \u0111ang ph\u00ecnh to. Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u00f3 t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":20009,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"source_name":"","source_url":"","via_name":"","via_url":"","override_template":"0","override":[{"template":"2","single_blog_custom":"","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"0","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"single-left","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"0","show_inline_post_related":"0"}],"override_image_size":"0","image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"no-crop","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-715"}],"trending_post":"0","trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post":"0","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","sponsored_post_name":"","sponsored_post_url":"","sponsored_post_logo_enable":"0","sponsored_post_logo":"","sponsored_post_desc":"","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":{"id":"","hide":""},"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-20021","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20021","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/5"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=20021"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/20021\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/20009"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=20021"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=20021"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=20021"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}