{"id":23682,"date":"2024-08-29T14:58:34","date_gmt":"2024-08-29T07:58:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/?p=23682"},"modified":"2024-08-29T14:58:34","modified_gmt":"2024-08-29T07:58:34","slug":"trien-vong-cung-ung-toan-cau-mo-rong-giup-day-gia-lua-mi-xuong-thap-hon","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/trien-vong-cung-ung-toan-cau-mo-rong-giup-day-gia-lua-mi-xuong-thap-hon\/","title":{"rendered":"Tri\u1ec3n V\u1ecdng Cung \u1ee8ng To\u00e0n C\u1ea7u M\u1edf R\u1ed9ng Gi\u00fap \u0110\u1ea9y Gi\u00e1 L\u00faa M\u00ec Xu\u1ed1ng Th\u1ea5p H\u01a1n"},"content":{"rendered":"

V\u1edbi gi\u00e1 l\u00faa m\u00ec \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ed1n n\u0103m l\u00e0 5,20 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1edf ph\u00e0o nh\u1eb9 nh\u00f5m. H\u1ecd ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ee9c nhi\u1ec1u lo\u1ea1i th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m y\u00eau th\u00edch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 b\u00e1nh m\u00ec, m\u00ec \u1ed1ng v\u00e0 m\u00ec s\u1ee3i, v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 chi ph\u00ed th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2020, v\u1edbi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o r\u1ed9ng r\u00e3i cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 phong ph\u00fa ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng trong n\u0103m nay v\u00e0 n\u0103m t\u1edbi tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u1edbi n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 2020 \u0111ang h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ed3i k\u1ebft, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn h\u1ee3p l\u00fd r\u1eb1ng \u00edt m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng n\u00e0o tr\u1ea3i qua nhi\u1ec1u th\u0103ng tr\u1ea7m trong b\u1ed1n n\u0103m r\u01b0\u1ee1i \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 n\u00e0y h\u01a1n l\u00faa m\u00ec. Chi\u1ebfn tranh b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 \u1edf Ukraine v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 2 n\u0103m 2022 \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 l\u00faa m\u00ec t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i l\u00e0 h\u01a1n 13 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea1 v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 3; ch\u00fang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao trong su\u1ed1t qu\u00fd th\u1ee9 hai v\u00ec ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t khi v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ra kh\u1ecfi Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en. Nga l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u00faa m\u00ec l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, trong khi xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u00faa m\u00ec t\u1eeb Nga v\u00e0 Ukraine c\u1ed9ng l\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfm g\u1ea7n m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n ba t\u1ed5ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi; vi\u1ec7c ch\u1eb7n c\u00e1c l\u00f4 h\u00e0ng ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c trong khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t gi\u00e1 l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ea7n tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb qu\u00fd 4 n\u0103m 2022, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u00e0o m\u00f9a h\u00e8 n\u0103m 2023 khi hai b\u00ean kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn l\u00e2u d\u00e0i v\u1ec1 v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1edbi kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng m\u00e0 Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u th\u00f4ng qua c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u thay th\u1ebf, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Nga \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a l\u00faa m\u00ec \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t b\u1ed9i thu v\u00e0o n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u01b0a gi\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong ba n\u0103m v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 n\u0103m 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n

\"Tri\u1ec3n
Tri\u1ec3n V\u1ecdng Cung \u1ee8ng To\u00e0n C\u1ea7u M\u1edf R\u1ed9ng Gi\u00fap \u0110\u1ea9y Gi\u00e1 L\u00faa M\u00ec Xu\u1ed1ng Th\u1ea5p H\u01a1n<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

N\u0103m 2024 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bnh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea1 l\u00faa m\u00ec b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u1edf m\u1ee9c kho\u1ea3ng 6,15 \u0111\u00f4 la tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 5,30 \u0111\u00f4 la v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 3 khi c\u00e1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cung \u1ee9ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng h\u01a1n, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c l\u00f4 h\u00e0ng l\u00faa m\u00ec c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111\u1ea1t kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i \u1edf c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u00faa m\u00ec ch\u00ednh – bao g\u1ed3m nhi\u1ec1u tu\u1ea7n n\u1eafng n\u00f3ng v\u00e0 thi\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ea9m \u1edf mi\u1ec1n Nam n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 4, sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 s\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u00e1 tr\u00e1i m\u00f9a v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 5, c\u00e1c c\u00e1nh \u0111\u1ed3ng s\u0169ng n\u01b0\u1edbc \u1edf T\u00e2y B\u1eafc \u00c2u v\u00e0 m\u00f9a h\u00e8 kh\u00f4 n\u00f3ng \u1edf \u00dac – \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi nhu c\u1ea7u m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt 30 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m l\u00ean h\u01a1n 7,15 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 5.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi tin t\u1ee9c t\u1eeb qu\u1ed1c gia ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 l\u00faa m\u00ec l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 5 r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd b\u00e3i b\u1ecf thu\u1ebf nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u l\u00faa m\u00ec sau th\u00e1ng 6 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1ea5p, do \u0111\u00f3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y l\u01b0\u1ee3ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u trong n\u0103m nay l\u00ean \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh t\u1eeb ba \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n (t\u1ea5n) t\u1eeb ch\u1ec9 120.000 t\u1ea5n v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2023. Ole Houe, gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n t\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng ty m\u00f4i gi\u1edbi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p IKON Commodities c\u1ee7a \u00dac, n\u00f3i v\u1edbi Reuters khi gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh trong 10 th\u00e1ng: “Kh\u00f4ng ai th\u1ea5y \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 l\u00faa m\u00ec n\u00e0y s\u1eafp x\u1ea3y ra”. “C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xay x\u00e1t v\u00e0 th\u1eadm ch\u00ed c\u1ea3 th\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u00e2n c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng mua \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u t\u1eeb c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u. \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed1ng cung \u1ee9ng kh\u00e1 tr\u1ed1ng r\u1ed7ng n\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n nh\u00ecn xa h\u01a1n th\u00e1ng 6”.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0ng b\u1ee9c tranh cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng v\u1ec1 ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a l\u00faa m\u00ec c\u1ee7a Nga, \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3, v\u1edbi gi\u00e1 gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n 30 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m trong ba th\u00e1ng t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m 7,15 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 5 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ed1n n\u0103m v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7. Theo SovEcon, m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng ty t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en, \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a l\u00faa m\u00ec n\u0103m 2024 t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 8 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng l\u00ean 84,7 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n (MMT), t\u0103ng so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 7 l\u00e0 84,1 MMT v\u00e0 80,7 MMT \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 6. Andrey Sizov, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u SovEcon, tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1: “\u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft \u0111\u00e3 g\u00e2y kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n cho v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a l\u00faa m\u00ec m\u1edbi \u1edf ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c thu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea7n ch\u00e2u \u00c2u c\u1ee7a Nga, cho d\u00f9 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 h\u1ea1n h\u00e1n hay s\u01b0\u01a1ng gi\u00e1 m\u00f9a xu\u00e2n”. \u201cTuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng s\u00f4ng Volga v\u1eabn thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i trong su\u1ed1t g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u0103m 2024. Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd th\u1ea5y s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh \u1edf ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng Thung l\u0169ng Volga, d\u00e3y Ural v\u00e0 Siberia.\u201d<\/span><\/p>\n

V\u00e0 v\u1edbi h\u00e0nh lang ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c Bi\u1ec3n \u0110en ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n, k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c l\u00f4 h\u00e0ng ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a Ukraine s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i trong n\u0103m nay. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb C\u01a1 quan H\u1ea3i quan Nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Ukraine t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 26 th\u00e1ng 7 cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y – n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u00faa m\u00ec l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 b\u1ea3y th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u1edbi Nga n\u1ed5 ra v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 2 n\u0103m 2022 – \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u h\u01a1n ba tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c v\u00e0 c\u00e2y h\u1ecd \u0111\u1eadu k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m ti\u1ebfp th\u1ecb 2024\/25, so v\u1edbi ch\u1ec9 1,905 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n m\u1ed9t n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Trong t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y, 1,163 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n l\u00faa m\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, so v\u1edbi 649.000 t\u1ea5n trong n\u0103m 2023\/24. Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Ukraine c\u0169ng \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh ri\u00eang r\u1eb1ng Ukraine \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 12,4 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la trong n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111ang tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e0 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u01b0\u01a1ng th\u1ef1c 22 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 n\u0103m 2023.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m nh\u1edd v\u00e0o c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd r\u1eb1ng ngu\u1ed3n cung tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng trong n\u0103m ti\u1ebfp th\u1ecb 2024\/25. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh th\u00e1ng 7 t\u1eeb B\u1ed9 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p Hoa K\u1ef3 (USDA) l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng l\u00faa m\u00ec to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u cho n\u0103m 2024\/25 l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef l\u1edbn h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng khi\u00eam t\u1ed1n h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 l\u00faa m\u00ec. “Ngu\u1ed3n cung t\u0103ng 6,9 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n l\u00ean 1.057,2 tri\u1ec7u, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 do l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ban \u0111\u1ea7u l\u1edbn h\u01a1n cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao h\u01a1n, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 cho Hoa K\u1ef3, Pakistan v\u00e0 Canada”, theo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o “\u01af\u1edbc t\u00ednh cung v\u00e0 c\u1ea7u n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi” (WASDE) c\u1ee7a USDA \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 12 th\u00e1ng 7. “D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bl\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef cu\u1ed1i k\u1ef3 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2024\/25 t\u0103ng 5,0 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n l\u00ean 257,2 tri\u1ec7u, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 do l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng \u1edf Hoa K\u1ef3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Argentina, Pakistan v\u00e0 Canada b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m \u1edf Nga, EU v\u00e0 Iran.”<\/span><\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i Hoa K\u1ef3, tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng 2024\/25 l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung l\u00faa m\u00ec, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho cu\u1ed1i k\u1ef3 l\u1edbn h\u01a1n, v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung t\u0103ng do s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00faa m\u00ec v\u00e0 t\u1ed3n kho \u0111\u1ea7u k\u1ef3 t\u0103ng. “D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean n\u0103m 2024 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi l\u00faa m\u00ec xu\u00e2n kh\u00e1c v\u00e0 Durum cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng so v\u1edbi n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea3 hai lo\u1ea1i l\u1ea7n l\u01b0\u1ee3t l\u00e0 578 tri\u1ec7u v\u00e0 89 tri\u1ec7u gi\u1ea1. S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00faa m\u00ec m\u00f9a \u0111\u00f4ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o cao h\u01a1n \u1edf m\u1ee9c 1.341 tri\u1ec7u gi\u1ea1 do di\u1ec7n t\u00edch thu ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng”, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o WASDE c\u0169ng l\u01b0u \u00fd. “T\u1ed3n kho \u0111\u1ea7u k\u1ef3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng l\u00ean so v\u1edbi t\u1ed3n kho ng\u00e0y 1 th\u00e1ng 6 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o trong NASS Grain Stocks. D\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bt\u1ed3n kho cu\u1ed1i k\u1ef3 2024\/25 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u0103ng 98 tri\u1ec7u gi\u1ea1 l\u00ean 856 tri\u1ec7u, t\u0103ng 22 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m so v\u1edbi n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m n\u0103m”.<\/span><\/p>\n

USDA d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00faa m\u00ec cho m\u00f9a v\u1ee5 2024\/25 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng th\u00eam 134 tri\u1ec7u gi\u1ea1 l\u00ean 2.008 tri\u1ec7u cho Hoa K\u1ef3, n\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u00faa m\u00ec l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 t\u01b0 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 do di\u1ec7n t\u00edch thu ho\u1ea1ch t\u0103ng v\u00e0 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n. Th\u1eadt v\u1eady, m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ng\u00e0y 25 th\u00e1ng 7 t\u1eeb Bloomberg \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn “n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t l\u00faa m\u00ec cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c \u1edf B\u1eafc Dakota” s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ngu\u1ed3n cung ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3. Theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb chuy\u1ebfn tham quan ti\u1ec3u bang d\u00e0nh cho c\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng nh\u00e2n, th\u1ee3 xay x\u00e1t v\u00e0 th\u1ee3 l\u00e0m b\u00e1nh m\u00ec, gi\u1ed1ng l\u00faa m\u00ec ch\u00ednh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u1ed3ng \u1edf ti\u1ec3u bang n\u00e0y, l\u00faa m\u00ec xu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecf c\u1ee9ng, s\u1ebd cho n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t 54,5 gi\u1ea1 tr\u00ean m\u1ed9t m\u1eabu Anh, cao h\u01a1n t\u1edbi 15% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c t\u00ednh to\u00e1n n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t cao nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb \u200b\u200btr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ebfn nay c\u1ee7a ti\u1ec3u bang. Dave Green, ph\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng L\u00faa m\u00ec, \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c chuy\u1ebfn tham quan m\u00f9a m\u00e0ng, n\u00f3i v\u1edbi Bloomberg: “\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c t\u1ed1t nh\u1ea5t m\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i c\u00f3 v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t con s\u1ed1”.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u00e1o c\u00e1o “Ti\u1ebfn tr\u00ecnh c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng qu\u1ed1c gia” c\u1ee7a USDA c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y v\u1ee5 thu ho\u1ea1ch l\u00faa m\u00ec m\u00f9a \u0111\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh 82 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m t\u00ednh \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 28 th\u00e1ng 7, t\u0103ng so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 76 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn trong tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc. S\u1ef1 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean khi gi\u00e1 n\u00f4ng tr\u1ea1i trung b\u00ecnh theo m\u00f9a v\u1ee5 2024\/25 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200b\u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh 0,80 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea1 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 5,70 \u0111\u00f4 la, v\u1edbi b\u00e1o c\u00e1o WASDE th\u00e1ng 7 n\u00eau ra l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef cao h\u01a1n, gi\u00e1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ti\u1ec1n m\u1eb7t gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 ng\u00f4 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bth\u1ea5p h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a Hoa K\u1ef3 l\u00e0 l\u00fd do cho s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn.<\/span><\/p>\n

L\u1eadp lu\u1eadn bi quan v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 l\u00faa m\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 th\u00eam b\u1edfi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i \u1edf Argentina, theo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7 t\u1eeb S\u00e0n giao d\u1ecbch ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c Buenos Aires (BdeC), \u0111\u00e3 cho ph\u00e9p n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ed3ng l\u00faa m\u00ec cho m\u00f9a thu ho\u1ea1ch hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. Do \u0111\u00f3, vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ed3ng l\u00faa m\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh tr\u00ean t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Argentina cho chu k\u1ef3 2024\/25, v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ed3ng h\u01a1n 6,3 tri\u1ec7u ha d\u00e0nh cho l\u00faa m\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh 98,5 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 26 th\u00e1ng 7, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o cho bi\u1ebft, v\u1edbi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a t\u1eadp trung ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu v\u00e0o trung t\u00e2m v\u00e0 ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a v\u00f9ng n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p ch\u00ednh, cho ph\u00e9p ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ed3ng tr\u1ecdt \u1edf c\u1ea3 trung t\u00e2m ph\u00eda b\u1eafc v\u00e0 ph\u00eda nam.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng cho th\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m \u0111ang h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua l\u1edbn quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 ho\u00e0n t\u1ea5t c\u00e1c giao d\u1ecbch l\u1edbn, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1edbm d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c t\u1ea1o ra m\u1ed9t s\u00e0n th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. V\u00ed d\u1ee5, v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 7, Ai C\u1eadp \u0111\u00e3 mua 770.000 t\u1ea5n l\u00faa m\u00ec trong m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u th\u1ea7u bao g\u1ed3m 50.000 t\u1ea5n l\u00faa m\u00ec Bulgaria v\u00e0 720.000 t\u1ea5n l\u00faa m\u00ec Nga, \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u l\u1ea7n mua l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2022 v\u00e0 cho th\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ee7 th\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ec3 mua s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn nh\u01b0 v\u1eady.<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00f3 l\u1ebd l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u l\u00faa m\u00ec l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi Indonesia v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Ai C\u1eadp th\u01b0\u1eddng mua v\u1edbi s\u1ed1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng th\u1eddi gian b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u thu ho\u1ea1ch \u1edf B\u1eafc b\u00e1n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0o m\u00f9a h\u00e8 ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ea7u m\u00f9a thu. Nh\u01b0ng m\u1ed9t c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n t\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng ty kinh doanh ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c JVC Swiss, Jean Charzat, c\u0169ng l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u th\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 n\u00eau b\u1eadt thi\u1ec7n ch\u00ed b\u00e1n h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u Nga v\u00e0 r\u1eb1ng \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y \u1edf n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00faa m\u00ec c\u1ee7a Nga nh\u01b0 mong \u0111\u1ee3i. “Ngo\u00e0i ra, cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u th\u1ea7u cho th\u1ea5y l\u00faa m\u00ec ch\u00e2u \u00c2u k\u00e9m c\u1ea1nh tranh nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a b\u1ed9i thu”, Charzat n\u00f3i th\u00eam.<\/span><\/p>\n

Cre: UkrAgroConsult – Bi\u00ean so\u1ea1n b\u1edfi Edu Trade.<\/span><\/i><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

V\u1edbi gi\u00e1 l\u00faa m\u00ec \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong b\u1ed1n n\u0103m l\u00e0 5,20 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t gi\u1ea1 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7, ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1edf ph\u00e0o nh\u1eb9 nh\u00f5m. H\u1ecd ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ee9c nhi\u1ec1u lo\u1ea1i th\u1ef1c ph\u1ea9m y\u00eau th\u00edch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 b\u00e1nh […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23675,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"2","parallax":"1","layout":"right-sidebar-narrow","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"0"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"no-crop","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-715"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-23682","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23682","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=23682"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/23682\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/23675"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=23682"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=23682"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=23682"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}