{"id":30627,"date":"2026-04-09T08:45:22","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T01:45:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/?p=30627"},"modified":"2026-04-09T08:45:22","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T01:45:22","slug":"the-gioi-co-the-du-cung-10-trieu-bao-ca-phe-trong-nam-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/the-gioi-co-the-du-cung-10-trieu-bao-ca-phe-trong-nam-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u01b0 cung 10 tri\u1ec7u bao c\u00e0 ph\u00ea trong n\u0103m 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2026 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 182,5 tri\u1ec7u bao (lo\u1ea1i 60kg\/bao), t\u0103ng t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c m\u1ee9c 170,1 tri\u1ec7u bao c\u1ee7a n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean 172,5 tri\u1ec7u bao, ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 168,3 tri\u1ec7u bao c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2025, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c 173,5 tri\u1ec7u bao c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2024.<\/p>\n

V\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 10 tri\u1ec7u bao, t\u1ed3n kho to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i l\u00ean h\u01a1n 48 tri\u1ec7u bao, sau b\u1ed1n n\u0103m s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp t\u1eeb 2021 – 2024 v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 t\u0103ng nh\u1eb9 trong n\u0103m 2025.<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh c\u00f3 v\u1ebb kh\u1ea3 quan h\u01a1n, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 coi l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cung \u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7. Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i di\u1ec5n ra t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c n\u1ec1n th\u1ea5p trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 m\u1ea5t c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn kh\u00ed h\u1eadu, c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0 EUDR (Quy \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m kh\u00f4ng g\u00e2y m\u1ea5t r\u1eebng c\u1ee7a Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u), v\u1ed1n y\u00eau c\u1ea7u truy xu\u1ea5t ngu\u1ed3n g\u1ed1c v\u00e0 ch\u1ee9ng minh s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u kh\u00f4ng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ea1n ph\u00e1 r\u1eebng.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Leonardo Rossetti, chuy\u00ean gia ph\u00e2n t\u00edch th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ea1i StoneX, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: \u201cTh\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2026 v\u1edbi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ngu\u1ed3n cung kh\u1ea3 quan h\u01a1n, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn c\u00f2n xa m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea1t tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh. Vi\u1ec7c b\u1ed5 sung t\u1ed3n kho di\u1ec5n ra kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u do s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu t\u1eadp trung \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh nh\u01b0 Brazil, trong khi c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 l\u1edbn v\u1eabn \u0111ang ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c t\u1ed3n kho th\u1ea5p trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.\u201d<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2026 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi Brazil. Qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea1t v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 75,3 tri\u1ec7u bao trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027, t\u0103ng 20,8% so v\u1edbi v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc, nh\u1edd ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i sau thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i do th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft \u1edf v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n mang t\u00ednh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac trong s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea robusta.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00e1c c\u0169ng \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p v\u00e0o s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng ngu\u1ed3n cung, d\u00f9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00e1c nhau. T\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c1, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 10% nh\u1edd s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i sau \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i. \u1ede ch\u00e2u Phi, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u01b0 Uganda v\u00e0 B\u1edd Bi\u1ec3n Ng\u00e0 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn gi\u00fap s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 3,6% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u1ec1u theo k\u1ecbp \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng n\u00e0y. T\u1ea1i Trung M\u1ef9, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3 d\u01b0\u1edbi 1%. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Colombia d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t kho\u1ea3ng 12,6 tri\u1ec7u bao, gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 13,5 tri\u1ec7u bao c\u1ee7a ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc, cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u trong ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 t\u1ed3n kho, m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng. Kh\u1ed1i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed3n kho to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng t\u1eeb kho\u1ea3ng 38 tri\u1ec7u bao l\u00ean h\u01a1n 48 tri\u1ec7u bao trong n\u0103m 2026. Ri\u00eang t\u1ea1i Brazil, \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i n\u00e0y, t\u1ed3n kho c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng th\u00eam kho\u1ea3ng 5 tri\u1ec7u bao.<\/p>\n

Tuy v\u1eady, s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng di\u1ec5n ra \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u. T\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 \u201cv\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec7m\u201d truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, t\u1ed3n kho n\u0103m 2025 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed sau khi s\u1ee5t h\u01a1n 2 tri\u1ec7u bao trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u0103m 2024\u20132025, v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i d\u1ea7n trong n\u0103m 2026.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, t\u1ed3n kho c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n xanh gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh t\u1eeb h\u01a1n 6 tri\u1ec7u bao n\u0103m 2022 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 1 tri\u1ec7u bao n\u0103m 2025, v\u1edbi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 trong n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n c\u0169ng \u0111ang tr\u1ea3i qua xu h\u01b0\u1edbng suy gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed3n kho k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, d\u00f9 \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 v\u1eeba ph\u1ea3i.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Rossetti nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh: \u201cVi\u1ec7c b\u1ed5 sung t\u1ed3n kho l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn quan tr\u1ecdng, nh\u01b0ng di\u1ec5n ra sau chu\u1ed7i s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 ti\u00eau th\u1ee5. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1edf n\u00ean nh\u1ea1y c\u1ea3m, b\u1edfi kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0o c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ed5 sung t\u1ed3n kho v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 nh\u01b0 nhau.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u1ede ph\u00eda c\u1ea7u, ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 2,5% trong n\u0103m 2025, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng s\u1ebd ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 trong n\u0103m 2026, t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 2,5%. \u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n kinh t\u1ebf d\u1ea7n c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 M\u1ef9, Brazil v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3 v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao v\u00e0 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn ti\u00eau th\u1ee5. T\u1ea1i Brazil, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t c\u00e0 ph\u00ea \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t 80% v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2025 v\u00e0 k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u0103m v\u1eabn cao h\u01a1n kho\u1ea3ng 35% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. T\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t duy tr\u00ec tr\u00ean 30% trong su\u1ed1t n\u0103m 2025 v\u00e0 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2026. T\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed3ng Euro, gi\u00e1 k\u1ebft th\u00fac n\u0103m 2025 t\u0103ng kho\u1ea3ng 18% v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n

Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh n\u00e0y, n\u0103m 2026 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 n\u0103m chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, v\u1edbi c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n nhi\u1ec1u bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n

\u201cM\u1eb7c d\u00f9 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3m r\u1ee7i ro x\u1ea3y ra c\u00e1c c\u00fa s\u1ed1c c\u1ef1c \u0111oan, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng. Nh\u1eefng bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1ecf v\u1ec1 cung ho\u1eb7c c\u1ea7u v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u00e1, do \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 n\u1ec1n t\u1ea3ng c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n\u201d, \u00f4ng Rossetti nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n

Theo vietnambiz.vn, do Edu Trade bi\u00ean so\u1ea1n.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2026 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 182,5 tri\u1ec7u bao (lo\u1ea1i 60kg\/bao), t\u0103ng t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c m\u1ee9c 170,1 tri\u1ec7u bao c\u1ee7a n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean 172,5 tri\u1ec7u bao, ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 168,3 tri\u1ec7u bao c\u1ee7a n\u0103m 2025, […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":86,"featured_media":30617,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"1","parallax":"1","layout":"right-sidebar-narrow","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","show_comment_section":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"0"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"no-crop","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-715"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","subtitle":"Theo b\u00e1o c\u00e1o m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a StoneX, m\u1ed9t c\u00f4ng ty d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ebd v\u01b0\u1ee3t nhu c\u1ea7u trong n\u0103m 2026, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 \u01b0\u1edbc kho\u1ea3ng 10 tri\u1ec7u bao."},"jnews_primary_category":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30627","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30627","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/86"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30627"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30627\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30628,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30627\/revisions\/30628"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30617"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30627"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30627"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30627"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}