{"id":30702,"date":"2026-04-13T10:08:44","date_gmt":"2026-04-13T03:08:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/?p=30702"},"modified":"2026-04-13T10:08:44","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T03:08:44","slug":"jp-morgan-canh-bao-gia-dau-co-the-cham-moc-120-do-la-neu-be-tac-tai-eo-bien-hormuz-keo-dai-den-thang-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/jp-morgan-canh-bao-gia-dau-co-the-cham-moc-120-do-la-neu-be-tac-tai-eo-bien-hormuz-keo-dai-den-thang-7\/","title":{"rendered":"JP Morgan c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea1m m\u1ed1c 120 \u0111\u00f4 la n\u1ebfu b\u1ebf t\u1eafc t\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 7"},"content":{"rendered":"

Theo JP Morgan,\u00a0gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn tranh Iran \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 120 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t th\u00f9ng n\u1ebfu vi\u1ec7c v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ee7y qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7.<\/span><\/p>\n

B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, giao th\u00f4ng qua \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y v\u1eabn b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t v\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 ph\u00ea duy\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u1ec7 binh C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o Iran (IRGC).<\/span><\/p>\n

“Th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn kh\u00f4ng m\u1edf l\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz, v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u0111i l\u1ea1i v\u1eabn b\u1ecb ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd,” c\u00f4ng ty t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i Windward\u00a0<\/span>cho <\/span>b<\/span>i\u1ebft<\/span>\u00a0h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m.<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00f4ng ty n\u00e0y cho bi\u1ebft: “Vi\u1ec7c \u0111i l\u1ea1i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u1eabn b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, ph\u1ed1i h\u1ee3p v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c thi m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch c\u00f3 ch\u1ecdn l\u1ecdc”, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi l\u01b0u \u00fd r\u1eb1ng “ch\u01b0a c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ef1 do”.<\/span><\/p>\n

Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng hy v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n gi\u1eefa Iran v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m leo thang t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh h\u01a1n n\u1eefa v\u00e0 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i nhanh h\u01a1n ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ea1i eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t tr\u1eafc l\u1edbn v\u1eabn c\u00f2n t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i, bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 vi\u1ec7c li\u1ec7u Iran c\u00f3 s\u1eb5n l\u00f2ng t\u1eeb b\u1ecf l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz trong c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n hay kh\u00f4ng.<\/span><\/p>\n

D\u00f9 sao th\u00ec, s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan t\u1ee9c th\u1eddi sau l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn r\u1eb1ng eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz s\u1ebd nhanh ch\u00f3ng m\u1edf c\u1eeda tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i cho giao th\u00f4ng t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 tan bi\u1ebfn, v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u00ednh to\u00e1n th\u1eddi gian v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/span><\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a JP Morgan cho bi\u1ebft trong m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda l\u01b0u l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao th\u00f4ng b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng N\u0103m v\u00e0 l\u01b0u l\u01b0\u1ee3ng giao th\u00f4ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng S\u00e1u.<\/span><\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ee7a JP Morgan \u0111\u00e3 vi\u1ebft trong b\u1ea3n ghi ch\u00fa \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Bloomberg<\/span>\u00a0\u0111\u0103ng t\u1ea3i r\u1eb1ng: “Vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00ean 100% m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn r\u1ee7i ro gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng th\u00eam t\u1eeb 15 \u0111\u1ebfn 20 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t th\u00f9ng.\u00a0<\/span>“<\/span><\/p>\n

S\u00e1ng s\u1edbm th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u, c\u1ea3 hai chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c giao d\u1ecbch \u1edf m\u1ee9c\u00a0<\/span>95-97 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed7i th\u00f9ng<\/span>\u00a0.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a Goldman Sachs\u00a0<\/span>c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o<\/span>\u00a0r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bs\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh tr\u00ean 100 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t th\u00f9ng trong n\u0103m nay n\u1ebfu eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz v\u1eabn b\u1ecb \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi giao th\u00f4ng t\u00e0u ch\u1edf d\u1ea7u trong m\u1ed9t th\u00e1ng n\u1eefa.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Theo oilprice.com, do Edu Trade bi\u00ean so\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Theo JP Morgan,\u00a0gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec9nh \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1eddi chi\u1ebfn tranh Iran \u1edf m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n 120 \u0111\u00f4 la m\u1ed9t th\u00f9ng n\u1ebfu vi\u1ec7c v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ee7y qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7. B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, giao […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":86,"featured_media":30693,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"1","parallax":"1","layout":"right-sidebar-narrow","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","show_comment_section":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"0"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"no-crop","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-715"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","subtitle":"B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p l\u1ec7nh ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 h\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, giao th\u00f4ng qua \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y v\u1eabn b\u1ecb h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t v\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 ph\u00ea duy\u1ec7t c\u1ee7a L\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng V\u1ec7 binh C\u00e1ch m\u1ea1ng H\u1ed3i gi\u00e1o Iran (IRGC)."},"jnews_primary_category":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-30702","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30702","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/86"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=30702"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30702\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":30703,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/30702\/revisions\/30703"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/30693"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=30702"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=30702"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=30702"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}