{"id":31114,"date":"2026-04-29T11:31:24","date_gmt":"2026-04-29T04:31:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/?p=31114"},"modified":"2026-04-29T14:55:20","modified_gmt":"2026-04-29T07:55:20","slug":"gia-ca-phe-tang-bat-tang-manh-nguon-cung-bi-that-chat","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/gia-ca-phe-tang-bat-tang-manh-nguon-cung-bi-that-chat\/","title":{"rendered":"Gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea t\u0103ng b\u1eadt t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, ngu\u1ed3n cung b\u1ecb th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t"},"content":{"rendered":"

Theo S\u1edf Giao d\u1ecbch H\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Vi\u1ec7t Nam (MXV),\u00a0c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea, khi c\u1ea3 Arabica v\u00e0 Robusta \u0111\u1ec1u ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh. \u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t, d\u00f9 ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o b\u1ecb k\u00ecm h\u00e3m b\u1edfi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n khi Brazil b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o v\u1ee5 thu ho\u1ea1ch.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n, gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea Arabica giao th\u00e1ng 7 t\u0103ng 3,75%, l\u00ean 6.501,4 USD\/t\u1ea5n; c\u00e0 ph\u00ea Robusta c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n t\u0103ng h\u01a1n 6,7%, l\u00ean 3.483 USD\/t\u1ea5n.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7c eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng m\u00e0 c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, qua \u0111\u00f3 gia t\u0103ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t chi ph\u00ed v\u00e0 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1eb7t b\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 c\u00e1c m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng nguy\u00ean li\u1ec7u c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 cung – c\u1ea7u, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Brazil. M\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y, Trung t\u00e2m Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u ti\u00ean ti\u1ebfn v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf \u1ee9ng d\u1ee5ng (Cepea) Brazil d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025 – 2026 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t 8 n\u0103m, k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2017 – 2018.<\/p>\n

D\u1eef li\u1ec7u th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111ang c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u00e0y. Theo Cecaf\u00e9, trong 9 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 (t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 7\/2025 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 3\/2026), Brazil ch\u1ec9 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u 29,09 tri\u1ec7u bao, gi\u1ea3m 21,2% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 v\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t ghi nh\u1eadn k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2022 – 2023.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n cung suy gi\u1ea3m c\u0169ng k\u00e9o theo t\u1ed3n kho t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh. T\u1ed3n kho Arabica \u0111\u1ea1t chu\u1ea9n t\u1ea1i ICE hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n kho\u1ea3ng 518.500 bao (lo\u1ea1i 60kg), gi\u1ea3m 4,2% so v\u1edbi th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m t\u1edbi 35,7% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. \u0110\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd, c\u00e0 ph\u00ea Brazil hi\u1ec7n ch\u1ec9 chi\u1ebfm h\u01a1n 4% trong t\u1ed5ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed3n kho n\u00e0y, gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 58,4% c\u1ee7a c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh v\u1eabn hi\u1ec7n h\u1eefu khi nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Brazil ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026 – 2027 s\u1ebd kh\u1ea3 quan. Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng thu ho\u1ea1ch Robusta \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 4, trong khi Arabica s\u1ebd b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o cao \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 5.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba, tu\u1ea7n qua,\u00a0gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n x\u00f4\u00a0t\u1ea1i T\u00e2y Nguy\u00ean t\u0103ng theo xu h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, dao \u0111\u1ed9ng quanh m\u1ed1c 88.000 \u0111\u1ed3ng\/kg, t\u0103ng 2.900 \u0111\u1ed3ng\/kg so v\u1edbi tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Tuy nhi\u00ean, giao d\u1ecbch n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba v\u1eabn tr\u1ea7m l\u1eafng do nhu c\u1ea7u b\u00e1n ra ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i tr\u01b0\u1edbc k\u1ef3 ngh\u1ec9 l\u1ec5, trong khi \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c tr\u1eadn m\u01b0a l\u1edbn \u0111ang h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c cho c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ecb th\u1ebf l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00e0 ph\u00ea Robusta h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Nh\u01b0ng theo c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia, v\u1ecb th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi v\u1ecb th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, v\u1ec1 ng\u00f4n ng\u1eef c\u1ea3m quan, hay v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam,\u00a0gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea n\u1ed9i\u00a0\u0111\u1ecba\u00a0nh\u00edch t\u0103ng theo \u0111\u00e0 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i c\u1ee7a s\u00e0n London, song giao d\u1ecbch v\u1eabn tr\u1ea7m l\u1eafng. S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025\/26 c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng 6%, l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong 4 n\u0103m l\u00e0 1,76 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n (t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 29,4 tri\u1ec7u bao). Tuy nhi\u00ean, theo c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 giao d\u1ecbch, d\u00f9 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 l\u1edbn trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 t\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng r\u1ee7i ro hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng khi hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft El Ni\u00f1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 thu h\u1eb9p l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u01b0 cung cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng.<\/p>\n

Theo c\u00e1c b\u00e1o c\u00e1o qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, \u0111\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a\u00a0gi\u00e1 c\u00e0\u00a0ph\u00ea\u00a0trong tu\u1ea7n qua ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng t\u1ed3n kho gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u nh\u1eadn h\u00e0ng t\u0103ng khi h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e1o h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c H\u1ea3i quan Vi\u1ec7t Nam,\u00a0xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea\u00a0c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong 15 ng\u00e0y \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 4 \u0111\u1ea1t 99,4 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ea5n, tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 422,9 tri\u1ec7u USD, t\u0103ng 13,2% v\u1ec1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m 16,1% v\u1ec1 tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i.<\/p>\n

T\u00ednh t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 15\/4, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea \u0111\u1ea1t 691,5 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ea5n, tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 3,18 t\u1ef7 USD, t\u0103ng 15,1% v\u1ec1 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m 6,5% v\u1ec1 tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m 2025 do gi\u00e1 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

\n
\n

Theo agro.gov.vn, do Edu Trade bi\u00ean so\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>\n
\n
<\/div>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Theo S\u1edf Giao d\u1ecbch H\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Vi\u1ec7t Nam (MXV),\u00a0c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea, khi c\u1ea3 Arabica v\u00e0 Robusta \u0111\u1ec1u ghi nh\u1eadn m\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh. \u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1eaft […]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":86,"featured_media":31119,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"1","parallax":"1","layout":"right-sidebar-narrow","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","show_comment_section":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"0"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"no-crop","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-715"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","subtitle":"Gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea b\u1eadt t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh do c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng leo thang, l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea9y chi ph\u00ed t\u0103ng trong khi ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t."},"jnews_primary_category":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-31114","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31114","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/86"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=31114"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31114\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":31121,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/31114\/revisions\/31121"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/31119"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=31114"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=31114"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=31114"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}