{"id":31544,"date":"2026-05-20T13:15:55","date_gmt":"2026-05-20T06:15:55","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/?p=31544"},"modified":"2026-05-20T08:55:30","modified_gmt":"2026-05-20T01:55:30","slug":"tin-don-brazil-se-cat-giam-san-luong-duong-day-gia-duong-tang-cao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/tin-don-brazil-se-cat-giam-san-luong-duong-day-gia-duong-tang-cao\/","title":{"rendered":"Tin \u0111\u1ed3n Brazil s\u1ebd c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng cao"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi NY th\u00e1ng 7 #11 (\u00a0<\/span>SBN26<\/span>\u00a0) h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Ba \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda t\u0103ng +0,28 (+1,90%), v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1eafng ICE London th\u00e1ng 8 #5 (\u00a0<\/span>SWQ26<\/span>\u00a0) \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda t\u0103ng +4,50 (+1,03%).<\/span><\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0o th\u1ee9 Ba do quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Brazil v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p nhi\u00ean li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a gi\u00e1 x\u0103ng v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u diesel t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt do chi\u1ebfn tranh Iran s\u1ebd h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00e1 ethanol, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Brazil chuy\u1ec3n h\u01b0\u1edbng \u00e9p m\u00eda nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n sang s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ethanol thay v\u00ec \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/span><\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u1eeb T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0110\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (ISO) r\u1eb1ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2026\/27 s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m -1,15% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 180 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, v\u00e0 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u l\u00e0 262.000 t\u1ea5n, do t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u1ec1m t\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft El Ni\u00f1o \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1ee5 thu ho\u1ea1ch \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan.<\/span><\/p>\n

H\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Hai, gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t trong 1 tu\u1ea7n sau khi ISO d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c cho m\u00f9a v\u1ee5 2025\/26 v\u00e0 n\u00e2ng \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. ISO d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025\/26 \u0111\u1ea1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 182 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, t\u0103ng 3,5% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, v\u00e0 n\u00e2ng \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025\/26 l\u00ean 2,2 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 1,22 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng Hai, ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t -3,46 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n trong n\u0103m 2024-25.<\/span><\/p>\n

Th\u1ee9 Hai tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, Citigroup d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Brazil n\u0103m 2026\/27 \u0111\u1ea1t 39,50 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh 43,95 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n c\u1ee7a Conab, l\u00fd do l\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Brazil \u0111ang ph\u00e2n b\u1ed5 nhi\u1ec1u m\u00eda h\u01a1n cho s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ethanol trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh gi\u00e1 x\u0103ng t\u0103ng cao. Ngo\u00e0i ra, Citigroup cho bi\u1ebft hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Ni\u00f1o m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd ti\u1ec1m t\u00e0ng trong n\u0103m nay c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 “t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3” \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1edf \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan trong 6 \u0111\u1ebfn 12 th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i 4 th\u00e1ng c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 30 th\u00e1ng 9, nh\u1eb1m b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ngu\u1ed3n cung trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. Ngo\u00e0i ra, Datagro \u0111\u00e3 n\u00e2ng \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2026\/27 l\u00ean -3,17 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c -2,26 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, StoneX h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Ba tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u s\u1ebd r\u01a1i v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t -550.000 t\u1ea5n trong m\u00f9a v\u1ee5 2026\/27 so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 2,3 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n trong m\u00f9a v\u1ee5 2025\/26.<\/span><\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y 30 th\u00e1ng 4, Unica b\u00e1o c\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng khu v\u1ef1c Trung v\u00e0 Nam Brazil ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026\/27 trong n\u1eeda \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 4 gi\u1ea3m -11,9% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 647 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, do c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00eda d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 32,9% so v\u1edbi 44,7% n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i. Ng\u00e0y 28 th\u00e1ng 4, Conab, trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o ban \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 m\u00f9a v\u1ee5 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Brazil ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026\/27 s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m -0,5% xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 43,952 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, trong khi s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ethanol s\u1ebd t\u0103ng +7,2% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i l\u00ean 29,259 tri\u1ec7u l\u00edt. Ng\u00e0y 21 th\u00e1ng 4, USDA d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Brazil ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026\/27 \u1edf m\u1ee9c 42,5 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, gi\u1ea3m -3% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, do c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u00e9p nhi\u1ec1u m\u00eda h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ethanol so v\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n ngu\u1ed3n cung do vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz k\u00e9o d\u00e0i. Theo Covrig Analytics, vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda eo bi\u1ec3n \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m kho\u1ea3ng 6% l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng giao d\u1ecbch to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng tinh luy\u1ec7n.<\/span><\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u01b0 th\u1eeba to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m d\u1ea7n, h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho gi\u00e1 c\u1ea3. V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 21 th\u00e1ng 4, Covrig Analytics \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u01b0 th\u1eeba to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2026\/27 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 800.000 t\u1ea5n t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 1,4 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. V\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 20 th\u00e1ng 4, c\u00f4ng ty kinh doanh \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng Czarnikow \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u01b0 th\u1eeba to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2026\/27 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 1,1 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 3,4 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 2, v\u00e0 h\u1ea1 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng d\u01b0 th\u1eeba n\u0103m 2025\/26 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 5,8 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n t\u1eeb m\u1ee9c 8,3 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n. \u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y 16 th\u00e1ng 4, Li\u00ean \u0111o\u00e0n c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c x\u00e3 qu\u1ed1c gia \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 (National Federation of Cooperative Sugar Factories Ltd.) b\u00e1o c\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025-2026 t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 1 th\u00e1ng 10 \u0111\u1ebfn ng\u00e0y 15 th\u00e1ng 4 \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 7,7% so v\u1edbi c\u00f9ng k\u1ef3 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1ea1t 27,48 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n. Ng\u00e0y 7 th\u00e1ng 4, Hi\u1ec7p h\u1ed9i c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng sinh h\u1ecdc \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 (ISMA) \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103m 2025\/2026 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 32 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, gi\u1ea3m so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 32,4 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n. ISMA c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025\/2026 \u0111\u1ea1t 800.000 t\u1ea5n. \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0o ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2022\/2023 sau khi m\u01b0a mu\u1ed9n l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf ngu\u1ed3n cung trong n\u01b0\u1edbc. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 30 th\u00e1ng 4, B\u1ed9 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p Hoa K\u1ef3 (USDA) cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200b\u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 2,5 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026\/2027, l\u1ea7n th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong hai n\u0103m. \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/span><\/p>\n

Trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o hai n\u0103m m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 16 th\u00e1ng 12, B\u1ed9 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p Hoa K\u1ef3 (USDA) d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025\/26 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 4,6% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 189,318 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, v\u00e0 ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a con ng\u01b0\u1eddi n\u0103m 2025\/26 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 1,4% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 177,921 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n. USDA c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ed3n kho \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cu\u1ed1i k\u1ef3 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025\/26 s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m 2,9% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 41,188 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n. C\u01a1 quan D\u1ecbch v\u1ee5 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p N\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i (FAS) thu\u1ed9c USDA d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Brazil n\u0103m 2025\/26 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 2,3% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 44,7 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n. FAS c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 n\u0103m 2025\/26 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng 25% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1ea1t 35,25 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n, nh\u1edd l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i trong m\u00f9a gi\u00f3 m\u00f9a v\u00e0 di\u1ec7n t\u00edch tr\u1ed3ng m\u00eda t\u0103ng l\u00ean. Ngo\u00e0i ra, FAS d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng c\u1ee7a Th\u00e1i Lan n\u0103m 2025\/26 s\u1ebd t\u0103ng +2% so v\u1edbi n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc, \u0111\u1ea1t 10,25 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n.<\/span><\/p>\n

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Theo barchart, do Edu Trade bi\u00ean so\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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