Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh khi c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia t\u1eeb Rystad Energy c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean t\u1edbi 180 USD\/th\u00f9ng trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi n\u1ebfu c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran leo thang v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n
Theo \u00f4ng Jorge Le\u00f3n, Tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0110\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a Rystad Energy, k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u t\u0103ng s\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra n\u1ebfu xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 k\u00e9o d\u00e0i, c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ecb ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y ho\u1eb7c eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz b\u1ecb phong t\u1ecfa trong th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i.<\/p>\n
Eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 tuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u Brent v\u00e0 d\u1ea7u WTI to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u khi kho\u1ea3ng 20% l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n qua khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y. B\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 s\u1ef1 gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0o t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn ngu\u1ed3n cung n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u b\u1ecb th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t nhanh ch\u00f3ng.<\/p>\n
Trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo thang sau c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u00f4ng k\u00edch v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 t\u1eeb hai ph\u00eda. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u b\u1eadt t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh ng\u1eafn nh\u1edd k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n
Rystad Energy cho r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c 180 USD\/th\u00f9ng l\u00e0 k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 c\u1ef1c \u0111oan nh\u01b0ng ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y ra n\u1ebfu ngu\u1ed3n cung t\u1eeb Trung \u0110\u00f4ng b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ng li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp. Khi \u0111\u00f3, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u1eadt ch\u1ea5t trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u1ed3n kho d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p.<\/p>\n
Nhi\u1ec1u t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch kh\u00e1c c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 chuy\u00ean gia nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong v\u00f9ng 150-190 USD\/th\u00f9ng n\u1ebfu eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda ho\u1eb7c c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng lan r\u1ed9ng sang c\u00e1c c\u01a1 s\u1edf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u l\u1edbn t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c V\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh.<\/p>\n
D\u00f9 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n gi\u1eefa Washington v\u00e0 Tehran. Nhi\u1ec1u t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y hai b\u00ean v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec c\u00e1c k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i nh\u1eb1m t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn gi\u00fap kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n
Rystad Energy nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn l\u00e2u d\u00e0i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1ed1i l\u1ea1i b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 nh\u1edd ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c n\u00e0y t\u1eebng h\u1ea1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent trung b\u00ecnh n\u0103m 2026 sau khi xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn.<\/p>\n
Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t t\u1edbi gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u bao g\u1ed3m:<\/p>\n
\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 giao d\u1ecbch h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a ph\u00e1i sinh t\u1ea1i Edu Trade, giai \u0111o\u1ea1n hi\u1ec7n nay \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00f3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u00f3m n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 d\u1ea7u Brent, d\u1ea7u WTI v\u00e0 LNG. Nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ecba ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb t\u1ea1i Trung \u0110\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh xu h\u01b0\u1edbng gi\u00e1 trong c\u00e1c th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n
M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh v\u1eabn c\u00f2n hi\u1ec7n h\u1eefu, gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c duy tr\u00ec m\u1ee9c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng cao cho \u0111\u1ebfn khi c\u00f3 t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz.<\/p>\n
Trong k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t m\u00e0 Rystad Energy \u0111\u01b0a ra, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfn s\u00e1t m\u1ed1c 180 USD\/th\u00f9ng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8, t\u1ea1o ra c\u00fa s\u1ed1c l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n \u0111\u1ea1t k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 t\u00edch c\u1ef1c, gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 khi r\u1ee7i ro ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00e1o g\u1ee1.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi nguy c\u01a1 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1nh khi c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia t\u1eeb Rystad Energy c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean t\u1edbi 180 USD\/th\u00f9ng trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi n\u1ebfu c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Iran leo thang v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qua eo bi\u1ec3n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":86,"featured_media":32006,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"format":"standard","override":[{"template":"1","parallax":"1","layout":"right-sidebar-narrow","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_view_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"0","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"0","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","show_post_tag":"1","show_prev_next_post":"1","show_popup_post":"1","show_comment_section":"1","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"0"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"no-crop","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-715"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0","subtitle":"Rystad Energy nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u Brent c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00ean 180 USD\/th\u00f9ng v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 8 n\u1ebfu c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng M\u1ef9 - Iran t\u00e1i leo thang v\u00e0 eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t nguy c\u01a1 thi\u1ebfu h\u1ee5t ngu\u1ed3n cung nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng."},"jnews_primary_category":[],"footnotes":""},"categories":[149],"tags":[494,322,287,271,294,430,411,495,277,291,339,432,496,498,290,497],"class_list":["post-32042","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc","tag-dau-tho-the-gioi","tag-dau-tu-hang-hoa","tag-dau-wti","tag-edu-trade","tag-eo-bien-hormuz","tag-gia-dau-brent","tag-gia-dau-hom-nay","tag-giao-dich-dau-tho","tag-hang-hoa-phai-sinh","tag-lng","tag-my-iran","tag-opec","tag-rystad-energy","tag-thi-truong-dau-mo-toan-cau","tag-thi-truong-nang-luong","tag-tin-tuc-nang-luong"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32042","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/86"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=32042"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32042\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":32043,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/32042\/revisions\/32043"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/32006"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=32042"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=32042"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=32042"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}