{"id":36273,"date":"2026-08-05T10:51:48","date_gmt":"2026-08-05T03:51:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/?p=36273"},"modified":"2026-08-05T10:51:48","modified_gmt":"2026-08-05T03:51:48","slug":"usda-du-bao-san-luong-ca-phe-toan-cau-lap-ky-luc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/usda-du-bao-san-luong-ca-phe-toan-cau-lap-ky-luc\/","title":{"rendered":"USDA d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u l\u1eadp k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c m\u1edbi"},"content":{"rendered":"

USDA d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027 \u0111\u1ea1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 189,7 tri\u1ec7u bao, t\u0103ng 10,8 tri\u1ec7u bao so v\u1edbi ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Tuy nhi\u00ean, ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u1eabn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t khi ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3 l\u00e0 179,7 tri\u1ec7u bao.<\/p>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t g\u1ea7n 190 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h2>\n

Trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o th\u01b0\u1eddng ni\u00ean v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, B\u1ed9 N\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p M\u1ef9 (USDA) d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 189,7 tri\u1ec7u bao lo\u1ea1i 60 kg, t\u0103ng 10,8 tri\u1ec7u bao so v\u1edbi ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u1ea1i Brazil c\u00f9ng tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng t\u00edch c\u1ef1c \u1edf Ethiopia, Uganda v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam. M\u1ee9c t\u0103ng t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp cho s\u1ef1 s\u1ee5t gi\u1ea3m t\u1ea1i \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 v\u00e0 Indonesia.<\/p>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Arabica t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, Robusta gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9<\/h3>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea arabica to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng 12,1%, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 105,9 tri\u1ec7u t\u1ea5n.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng robusta d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eb9 0,7% so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c c\u1ee7a ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 83,8 tri\u1ec7u bao. D\u00f9 gi\u1ea3m, \u0111\u00e2y v\u1eabn l\u00e0 m\u1ee9c s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng robusta cao th\u1ee9 hai trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.<\/p>\n

C\u01a1 c\u1ea5u n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y ngu\u1ed3n cung arabica c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t, trong khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng robusta v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia cung \u1ee9ng ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ed1t, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam, Brazil v\u00e0 Indonesia.<\/p>\n

Brazil d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea1t s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 71,9 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h2>\n

Trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027, k\u00e9o d\u00e0i t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 7\/2026 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 6\/2027, USDA d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea c\u1ee7a Brazil \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 71,9 tri\u1ec7u bao, t\u0103ng 8,9 tri\u1ec7u bao so v\u1edbi ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Brazil hi\u1ec7n chi\u1ebfm g\u1ea7n 40% t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, v\u00ec v\u1eady k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 m\u00f9a v\u1ee5 c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ebfn ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Ri\u00eang \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi arabica, Brazil th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p kho\u1ea3ng 40-50% s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o chu k\u1ef3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t hai n\u0103m m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a c\u00e2y c\u00e0 ph\u00ea.<\/p>\n

Arabica Brazil ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i sau 5 n\u0103m suy gi\u1ea3m<\/h3>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng arabica c\u1ee7a Brazil \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh 9,5 tri\u1ec7u bao, l\u00ean 47,5 tri\u1ec7u bao, qua \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t chu\u1ed7i 5 n\u0103m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp suy gi\u1ea3m do \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i.<\/p>\n

L\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00fang th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u00e2y ra hoa trong th\u00e1ng 9 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 10 \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n qu\u1ea3. \u0110i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n n\u00e0y gi\u00fap n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i bang Minas Gerais \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c g\u1ea7n k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c chi\u1ebfm h\u01a1n 70% di\u1ec7n t\u00edch tr\u1ed3ng arabica c\u1ee7a Brazil.<\/p>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng robusta Brazil gi\u1ea3m c\u00f2n 24,4 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h3>\n

Tr\u00e1i v\u1edbi arabica, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng robusta c\u1ee7a Brazil \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o gi\u1ea3m 600.000 bao, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 24,4 tri\u1ec7u bao, sau khi \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n k\u1ebft h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t m\u01b0a l\u1edbn \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i bang Esp\u00edrito Santo, khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p kho\u1ea3ng 70% s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng robusta c\u1ee7a Brazil.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n cung l\u1edbn h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd gi\u00fap xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Brazil trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2026 t\u0103ng th\u00eam 11 tri\u1ec7u bao, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 45 tri\u1ec7u bao. T\u1ed3n kho cu\u1ed1i k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng th\u00eam 500.000 bao, l\u00ean 4,4 tri\u1ec7u bao.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7t Nam c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 32,5 tri\u1ec7u bao c\u00e0 ph\u00ea<\/h2>\n

USDA d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027 t\u0103ng 800.000 bao, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 32,5 tri\u1ec7u bao. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi vi\u1ec7c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng di\u1ec7n t\u00edch tr\u1ed3ng v\u00e0 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea duy tr\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u01b0\u1eddi s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o kh\u00e1c, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t c\u00e2y tr\u1ed3ng.<\/p>\n

Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea1t 25,4 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h3>\n

V\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ed3i d\u00e0o h\u01a1n, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng 300.000 bao, \u0111\u1ea1t 25,4 tri\u1ec7u bao. Ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng l\u1eadp k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c m\u1edbi \u1edf m\u1ee9c 5 tri\u1ec7u bao.<\/p>\n

Theo d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y, Vi\u1ec7t Nam ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf l\u00e0 ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00e0 ph\u00ea l\u1edbn th\u1ee9 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027, chi\u1ebfm 20% t\u1ed5ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. X\u00e9t ri\u00eang \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi robusta, Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1eabn l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 quan tr\u1ecdng c\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i khi \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea<\/a> trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia cung \u1ee9ng kh\u00e1c<\/h2>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh Brazil v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam, USDA c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0a ra d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea t\u1ea1i Trung M\u1ef9, Mexico, Colombia, Ethiopia v\u00e0 Indonesia.<\/p>\n

Trung M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Mexico t\u0103ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u00ean 17,7 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h3>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea t\u1ea1i Trung M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Mexico \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 600.000 bao, \u0111\u1ea1t 17,7 tri\u1ec7u bao. \u0110\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i t\u1ea1i Costa Rica, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico v\u00e0 Panama.<\/p>\n

Honduras \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c, v\u1edbi s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u0103ng 500.000 bao, l\u00ean 6 tri\u1ec7u bao, nh\u1edd di\u1ec7n t\u00edch canh t\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i.<\/p>\n

Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Trung M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Mexico \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 400.000 bao, \u0111\u1ea1t 14 tri\u1ec7u bao nh\u1edd ngu\u1ed3n cung l\u1edbn h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Colombia \u0111\u1ea1t 13,4 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h3>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea c\u1ee7a Colombia \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng 900.000 bao, l\u00ean 13,4 tri\u1ec7u bao. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ed9 \u1ea9m \u0111\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n nh\u1edd l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a l\u1edbn trong n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c t\u0103ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ph\u00e2n b\u00f3n, thu\u1ed1c b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 th\u1ef1c v\u1eadt.<\/p>\n

Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Colombia, ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn t\u0103ng 500.000 bao, \u0111\u1ea1t 12,2 tri\u1ec7u bao.<\/p>\n

Ethiopia c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1eadp k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 12,1 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h3>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea Ethiopia \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng h\u01a1n 500.000 bao, \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 12,1 tri\u1ec7u bao nh\u1edd di\u1ec7n t\u00edch v\u00e0 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t c\u00f9ng t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

Trong 4 n\u0103m qua, t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Ethiopia ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c thay th\u1ebf h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda di\u1ec7n t\u00edch tr\u1ed3ng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c gi\u1ed1ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea c\u00f3 n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n. Nh\u1edd \u0111\u00f3, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 200.000 bao, \u0111\u1ea1t 7,1 tri\u1ec7u bao.<\/p>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Indonesia gi\u1ea3m 1 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h3>\n

Indonesia l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o suy gi\u1ea3m s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 m\u1edbi. T\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m 1 tri\u1ec7u bao, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 11,4 tri\u1ec7u bao.<\/p>\n

Trong \u0111\u00f3, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng robusta gi\u1ea3m 1 tri\u1ec7u bao, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 10 tri\u1ec7u bao do n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. L\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a l\u1edbn \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh ra hoa v\u00e0 h\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh qu\u1ea3 t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p \u1edf Nam Sumatra v\u00e0 Java, n\u01a1i chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 75% s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea Indonesia.<\/p>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng arabica \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1edf m\u1ee9c 1,4 tri\u1ec7u bao nh\u1edd \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n sinh tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

V\u1ee5 thu ho\u1ea1ch nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a Indonesia gi\u1ea3m h\u01a1n 800.000 bao, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 7 tri\u1ec7u bao trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027.<\/p>\n

Ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c l\u1eadp k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c<\/h2>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh, ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t do nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng g\u1ea7n 8 tri\u1ec7u bao, \u0111\u1ea1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 179,7 tri\u1ec7u bao. Nhu c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb nh\u1eefng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n nh\u01b0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 rang xay t\u1ea1i nh\u1eefng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u00e0y \u0111ang t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch b\u1ed5 sung t\u1ed3n kho sau 5 n\u0103m li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u1edf tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i eo h\u1eb9p.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed3n kho th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh<\/h3>\n

USDA cho bi\u1ebft t\u1ed3n kho c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi li\u00ean t\u1ee5c gi\u1ea3m k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2020 v\u00e0 ch\u1ea1m m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p l\u1ecbch s\u1eed 15,5 tri\u1ec7u bao trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2024-2025. \u0110\u00e2y c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong nh\u1eefng n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed3n kho \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i nh\u1eb9 trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n. \u0110\u1ebfn ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027, t\u1ed3n kho c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng n\u0103m th\u1ee9 hai li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp, \u0111\u1ea1t 26,3 tri\u1ec7u bao. Tuy v\u1eady, m\u1ee9c n\u00e0y v\u1eabn th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

Trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh ngu\u1ed3n cung \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u1ed5 sung, gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 25% trong 7 th\u00e1ng qua, t\u00ednh theo ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 gi\u00e1 t\u1ed5ng h\u1ee3p h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng c\u1ee7a T\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c C\u00e0 ph\u00ea Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

USDA nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn chung c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c l\u1edbn v\u00e0o chu k\u1ef3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Brazil khi ngu\u1ed3n cung to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u d\u1ea7n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a \u0111\u1ea1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c ho\u1eb7c g\u1ea7n k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c t\u1ea1i Brazil trong n\u0103m 2026 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng gi\u00fap th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng El Ni\u00f1o \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh thu ho\u1ea1ch v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea9y gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea t\u0103ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n xanh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t 131,4 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h2>\n

USDA d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n xanh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 131,4 tri\u1ec7u bao, t\u0103ng 11,9 tri\u1ec7u bao so v\u1edbi ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1edfi ngu\u1ed3n cung gia t\u0103ng t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t l\u1edbn, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 Brazil v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n

USDA c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025-2026<\/h2>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025-2026, USDA gi\u1eef nguy\u00ean d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u1edf m\u1ee9c 178,8 tri\u1ec7u bao, kh\u00f4ng thay \u0111\u1ed5i so v\u1edbi \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12\/2025.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 Peru \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng<\/h3>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025-2026 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng th\u00eam 900.000 bao, l\u00ean 31,7 tri\u1ec7u bao nh\u1edd n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Peru c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng g\u1ea7n 600.000 bao, \u0111\u1ea1t 4,8 tri\u1ec7u bao.<\/p>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Colombia b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m 1,3 tri\u1ec7u bao, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 12,5 tri\u1ec7u bao do m\u01b0a l\u1edbn k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 m\u00e2y che ph\u1ee7 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m n\u0103ng su\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

S\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Guatemala gi\u1ea3m g\u1ea7n 400.000 bao so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 3,2 tri\u1ec7u bao. N\u0103ng su\u1ea5t c\u00e0 ph\u00ea t\u1ea1i n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi s\u00e2u \u0111\u1ee5c qu\u1ea3 v\u00e0 b\u1ec7nh g\u1ec9 s\u1eaft.<\/p>\n

Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u b\u1ecb h\u1ea1 4,3 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h3>\n

USDA \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2025-2026 xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 119,5 tri\u1ec7u bao, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 4,3 tri\u1ec7u bao so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb vi\u1ec7c h\u1ea1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Brazil th\u00eam 3 tri\u1ec7u bao, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 34 tri\u1ec7u bao, do l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng xu\u1ea5t sang EU v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n

Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Ethiopia c\u0169ng b\u1ecb \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u1ea3m h\u01a1n 800.000 bao, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 6,9 tri\u1ec7u bao, do nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba cao h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn.<\/p>\n

Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u00e2ng th\u00eam 500.000 bao, \u0111\u1ea1t 25,1 tri\u1ec7u bao nh\u1edd s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n gi\u1ea3m c\u00f2n 118,6 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h3>\n

\u1ede chi\u1ec1u nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u, USDA h\u1ea1 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u 1,3 tri\u1ec7u bao, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 118,6 tri\u1ec7u bao.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a Colombia \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh t\u0103ng 1,3 tri\u1ec7u bao, l\u00ean 2,2 tri\u1ec7u bao nh\u1eb1m \u0111\u00e1p \u1ee9ng nhu c\u1ea7u trong n\u01b0\u1edbc khi s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba suy gi\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a EU gi\u1ea3m 500.000 bao so v\u1edbi d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc, xu\u1ed1ng c\u00f2n 46,5 tri\u1ec7u bao do ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n. Nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng gi\u1ea3m 700.000 bao, c\u00f2n 23,1 tri\u1ec7u bao v\u00ec nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 suy y\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng ngu\u1ed3n cung \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea?<\/h2>\n

D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 189,7 tri\u1ec7u bao v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n xanh t\u0103ng l\u00ean 131,4 tri\u1ec7u bao cho th\u1ea5y ngu\u1ed3n cung th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ea1o \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u00ean gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t n\u1ebfu Brazil ho\u00e0n th\u00e0nh v\u1ee5 m\u00f9a \u0111\u1ea1t ho\u1eb7c g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o l\u1eadp k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 179,7 tri\u1ec7u bao, trong khi t\u1ed3n kho 26,3 tri\u1ec7u bao v\u1eabn th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n trung b\u00ecnh d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. V\u00ec v\u1eady, tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i cung \u1ee9ng ch\u01b0a ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n d\u01b0 th\u1eeba v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng m\u1ea1nh tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft b\u1ea5t th\u01b0\u1eddng, ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 thu ho\u1ea1ch c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 chu k\u1ef3 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Brazil.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Vi\u1ec7t Nam, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 32,5 tri\u1ec7u bao v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea1t 25,4 tri\u1ec7u bao ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a qu\u1ed1c gia cung \u1ee9ng robusta l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u, ngu\u1ed3n cung robusta v\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea trong ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027.<\/p>\n

T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a USDA mang \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng trung h\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea. Ngu\u1ed3n cung k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c t\u1ea1o \u00e1p l\u1ef1c \u0111i\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9nh gi\u00e1, nh\u01b0ng nhu c\u1ea7u ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 cao, t\u1ed3n kho c\u00f2n th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft t\u1ea1i Brazil v\u1eabn l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>\n

Ngu\u1ed3n: USDA d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c g\u1ea7n 190 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/a> \u2013 VietnamBiz.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

USDA d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2026-2027 \u0111\u1ea1t k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c 189,7 tri\u1ec7u bao, t\u0103ng 10,8 tri\u1ec7u bao so v\u1edbi ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Tuy nhi\u00ean, ngu\u1ed3n cung v\u1eabn t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed1i th\u1eaft ch\u1eb7t khi ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c cao ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3 l\u00e0 179,7 tri\u1ec7u bao. S\u1ea3n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":36287,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_gspb_post_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[955,239,142,956,1386,12,150,64],"class_list":["post-36273","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc","tag-arabica","tag-ca-phe-brazil","tag-ca-phe-viet-nam","tag-robusta","tag-san-luong-ca-phe","tag-thi-truong-ca-phe","tag-usda","tag-xuat-khau-ca-phe"],"blocksy_meta":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36273","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36273"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36273\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":36275,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36273\/revisions\/36275"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/36287"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36273"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36273"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36273"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}