{"id":48713,"date":"2026-10-05T11:19:19","date_gmt":"2026-10-05T04:19:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/?p=48713"},"modified":"2026-10-05T11:19:19","modified_gmt":"2026-10-05T04:19:19","slug":"xuat-khau-dau-vung-vinh-phuc-hoi-suc-ep-cua-iran-tai-hormuz-suy-giam","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/xuat-khau-dau-vung-vinh-phuc-hoi-suc-ep-cua-iran-tai-hormuz-suy-giam\/","title":{"rendered":"Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i, s\u1ee9c \u00e9p c\u1ee7a Iran t\u1ea1i Hormuz suy gi\u1ea3m"},"content":{"rendered":"

D\u00f2ng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh nh\u1edd c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed1ng, tuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n thay th\u1ebf v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng sang m\u1ea1n ngo\u00e0i kh\u01a1i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, r\u1ee7i ro an ninh c\u00f9ng chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i cao cho th\u1ea5y h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ch\u01b0a tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea1t \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 16,5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y<\/h2>\n

Theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u Kpler \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Oilprice<\/a> d\u1eabn l\u1ea1i, \u00edt nh\u1ea5t 16,5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4\/ng\u00e0y<\/strong> r\u1eddi khu v\u1ef1c v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n 1\u201328\/9<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ee9c b\u00ecnh qu\u00e2n tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh khi kh\u00f4ng t\u00ednh Iran. Tuy nhi\u00ean, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean nh\u1eefng tuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n v\u00e0 c\u00e1ch t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c giao nh\u1eadn kh\u00e1c v\u1edbi tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

D\u00f9 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 t\u0103ng, \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn l\u1ecdc d\u1ea7u v\u1eabn t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u EU c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 ng\u00e0y 1\/10 cho th\u1ea5y gi\u00e1 diesel b\u00e1n l\u1ebb \u1edf m\u1ee9c k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c; gi\u00e1 t\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng t\u0103ng b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p ngu\u1ed3n cung d\u1ea7u xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i.<\/p>\n

Kho\u1ea3ng 40% d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111i qua tuy\u1ebfn tr\u00e1nh Hormuz<\/h2>\n
\"Kho\u1ea3ng
Kho\u1ea3ng 40% d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 \u0111i qua tuy\u1ebfn tr\u00e1nh Hormuz<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh, 83% d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c<\/strong> \u0111i qua eo bi\u1ec3n Hormuz. Trong th\u00e1ng 9, kho\u1ea3ng 40%<\/strong> \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n theo c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn tr\u00e1nh eo bi\u1ec3n, g\u1ed3m \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed1ng v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng tuy\u1ebfn kh\u00e1c qua Saudi Arabia v\u00e0 C\u00e1c Ti\u1ec3u v\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u1ed1c Arab Th\u1ed1ng nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n

Kho\u1ea3ng 60%, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 9,9 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y<\/strong>, v\u1eabn tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp \u0111i qua Hormuz.<\/p>\n

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Ch\u1ec9 ti\u00eau<\/th>\nD\u1eef li\u1ec7u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e0i ngu\u1ed3n ghi nh\u1eadn<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
D\u1ea7u th\u00f4 r\u1eddi v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh, ng\u00e0y 1\u201328\/9<\/td>\n\u00cdt nh\u1ea5t 16,5 tri\u1ec7u th\u00f9ng\/ng\u00e0y<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
T\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng qua Hormuz tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh<\/td>\n83%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
T\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng tr\u00e1nh Hormuz trong th\u00e1ng 9<\/td>\n40%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
T\u1ef7 tr\u1ecdng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp qua Hormuz trong th\u00e1ng 9<\/td>\n60%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Kpler cho bi\u1ebft h\u01a1n 70% l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 qua Hormuz trong th\u00e1ng 8<\/strong>, th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 d\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c chuy\u1ec3n sang t\u00e0u kh\u00e1c ngo\u00e0i kh\u01a1i t\u1ea1i v\u1ecbnh Oman. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n v\u1eabn kh\u00e1c xa ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng g\u00e2y gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n c\u1ee7a Iran \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 suy y\u1ebfu<\/h2>\n

B\u00e0i ngu\u1ed3n ph\u00e2n bi\u1ec7t s\u1ee9c \u00e9p c\u1ee7a Iran v\u1edbi quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c: Tehran ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t eo bi\u1ec3n. \u1ea2nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng khi\u1ebfn tuy\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i tr\u1edf n\u00ean nguy hi\u1ec3m, bu\u1ed9c h\u00e3ng t\u00e0u c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 chi ph\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng g\u00e2y s\u1ee9c \u00e9p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 \u0111ang suy gi\u1ea3m khi l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng M\u1ef9 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 t\u00e0u th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 doanh nghi\u1ec7p ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o eo bi\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n

Chuy\u00ean gia th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng Ellen R. Wald nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ho\u1eb7c \u00fd ch\u00ed t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u00e0u c\u1ee7a Iran \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m. Tuy nhi\u00ean, b\u00e0 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o d\u00f2ng d\u1ea7u ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u00e3 b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng h\u00f3a.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 doanh nghi\u1ec7p ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a d\u1ea7u qua eo bi\u1ec3n r\u1ed3i sang m\u1ea1n cho t\u00e0u l\u1edbn ch\u1edd b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh. Nh\u1eefng \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb kh\u00e1c ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m ho\u1eb7c trong \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n.<\/p>\n

R\u1ee7i ro chi\u1ebfn tranh ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u<\/h2>\n

Theo b\u00e0 Wald, ngu\u1ed3n cung ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i gi\u00fap gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n \u00e1p l\u1ef1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1eaft nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh.<\/p>\n

Nguy c\u01a1 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u00e0u, ph\u00ed b\u1ea3o hi\u1ec3m cao v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 d\u1ea7u v\u1eabn bao g\u1ed3m ph\u1ea7n chi ph\u00ed ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh r\u1ee7i ro chi\u1ebfn tranh<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed1ng, tuy\u1ebfn Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u1ecf v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng sang m\u1ea1n ngo\u00e0i kh\u01a1i \u0111ang gi\u00fap nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua \u0111i\u1ec3m ngh\u1ebdn. Theo Kpler, h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a khu v\u1ef1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c l\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00edch \u1ee9ng v\u1edbi gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1ea3ng vi\u00ean Mohammad Ghaedi t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc George Washington cho r\u1eb1ng Iran \u00edt c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng khu v\u1ef1c. Tuy v\u1eady, \u00f4ng l\u01b0u \u00fd nh\u1eefng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng Tehran \u0111\u00e3 m\u1ea5t quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t Hormuz c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng nguy c\u01a1 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng leo thang.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00ecn chung, b\u00e0i ngu\u1ed3n \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 s\u1ee9c \u00e9p c\u1ee7a Iran \u0111ang suy gi\u1ea3m t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc. Hormuz v\u1eabn l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb gi\u00e1n \u0111o\u1ea1n khi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n c\u00f2n c\u1ea7n b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u00e1n thay th\u1ebf t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

D\u00f2ng d\u1ea7u th\u00f4 t\u1eeb v\u00f9ng V\u1ecbnh Ba T\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c tr\u01b0\u1edbc chi\u1ebfn tranh nh\u1edd c\u00e1c tuy\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ed1ng, tuy\u1ebfn v\u1eadn chuy\u1ec3n thay th\u1ebf v\u00e0 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng sang m\u1ea1n ngo\u00e0i kh\u01a1i. Tuy nhi\u00ean, r\u1ee7i ro an ninh c\u00f9ng chi ph\u00ed v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i cao cho th\u1ea5y h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u ch\u01b0a tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i b\u00ecnh […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":48714,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_gspb_post_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[342,2933,857,3542,223,3261],"class_list":["post-48713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc","tag-xuat-khau-dau","tag-xuat-khau-dau-arab-saudi","tag-xuat-khau-dau-bien-den","tag-xuat-khau-dau-nga","tag-xuat-khau-dau-tho","tag-xuat-khau-dau-trung-dong"],"blocksy_meta":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48713","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=48713"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48713\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":48716,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/48713\/revisions\/48716"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/48714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=48713"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=48713"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=48713"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}