{"id":50925,"date":"2026-10-12T10:33:07","date_gmt":"2026-10-12T03:33:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/?p=50925"},"modified":"2026-10-12T10:33:13","modified_gmt":"2026-10-12T03:33:13","slug":"gia-ca-phe-hom-nay-12-10-thi-truong-theo-doi-el-nino","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/gia-ca-phe-hom-nay-12-10-thi-truong-theo-doi-el-nino\/","title":{"rendered":"Gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea h\u00f4m nay 12\/10: Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng theo d\u00f5i El Ni\u00f1o"},"content":{"rendered":"

Gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi<\/a> k\u1ebft th\u00fac tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1edbi robusta g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111i ngang \u1edf k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n th\u00e1ng 11\/2026, trong khi c\u00e1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n arabica \u0111\u1ec1u t\u0103ng. B\u01b0\u1edbc sang tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo d\u00f5i kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng El Ni\u00f1o m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng tr\u1ed3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 r\u1ee7i ro \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ngu\u1ed3n cung, ch\u01b0a ph\u1ea3i k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

Gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi k\u1ebft th\u00fac tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc ra sao?<\/h2>\n

Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn tr\u00ean hai s\u00e0n London v\u00e0 New York c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n. C\u00e1c m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda v\u00e0 thay \u0111\u1ed5i so v\u1edbi tu\u1ea7n li\u1ec1n tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p>\n

Robusta tr\u00ean s\u00e0n London<\/h3>\n
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K\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n<\/th>\nGi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda<\/th>\nThay \u0111\u1ed5i so v\u1edbi tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Th\u00e1ng 11\/2026<\/td>\n3.470 USD\/t\u1ea5n<\/td>\nG\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed5i<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Th\u00e1ng 1\/2027<\/td>\n3.454 USD\/t\u1ea5n<\/td>\nT\u0103ng 6 USD\/t\u1ea5n, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 0,2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Arabica tr\u00ean s\u00e0n New York<\/h3>\n
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K\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n<\/th>\nGi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda<\/th>\nThay \u0111\u1ed5i so v\u1edbi tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n
Th\u00e1ng 3\/2027<\/td>\n286,95 US cent\/pound<\/td>\nT\u0103ng 6,4 US cent\/pound, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 2,3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Th\u00e1ng 5\/2027<\/td>\n279,8 US cent\/pound<\/td>\nT\u0103ng 2 US cent\/pound, t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng 0,7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u00f3ng c\u1eeda tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc<\/strong>, kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i b\u00e1o gi\u00e1 giao d\u1ecbch m\u1edbi trong ng\u00e0y 12\/10. B\u00e0i g\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a ra b\u1ea3ng gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea thu mua trong n\u01b0\u1edbc ng\u00e0y 12\/10.<\/p>\n

El Ni\u00f1o \u0111\u1eb7t ra r\u1ee7i ro g\u00ec cho ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00e0 ph\u00ea?<\/h2>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft l\u00e0 n\u1ed9i dung \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng quan t\u00e2m khi \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e1c ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 t\u1edbi. B\u00e0i g\u1ed1c n\u00eau c\u1ea3 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 c\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 El Ni\u00f1o v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng khu v\u1ef1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng.<\/p>\n

\"El
El Ni\u00f1o \u0111\u1eb7t ra r\u1ee7i ro g\u00ec cho ngu\u1ed3n cung c\u00e0 ph\u00ea?<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o El Ni\u00f1o m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean trong c\u00e1c tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi<\/h3>\n

Theo C\u00f4ng ty I & M Smith d\u1eabn c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt c\u1ee7a Trung t\u00e2m D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o Kh\u00ed h\u1eadu (CPC) thu\u1ed9c C\u01a1 quan Kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng Qu\u1ed1c gia M\u1ef9, El Ni\u00f1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n v\u00e0 m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean trong nh\u1eefng tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi. CPC \u0111\u01b0a ra x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t 90%<\/strong> hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y s\u1ebd thu\u1ed9c nh\u00f3m nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ee3t El Ni\u00f1o m\u1ea1nh nh\u1ea5t t\u1eebng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

D\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra sau giai \u0111o\u1ea1n nhi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ed9 m\u1eb7t n\u01b0\u1edbc bi\u1ec3n \u1edf trung t\u00e2m v\u00e0 ph\u00eda \u0111\u00f4ng v\u00f9ng x\u00edch \u0111\u1ea1o Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng duy tr\u00ec g\u1ea7n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. C\u00e1c m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 T\u1ed5 h\u1ee3p \u0111a m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh B\u1eafc M\u1ef9 (NMME), cho th\u1ea5y El Ni\u00f1o c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng k\u00e9o d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ebfn h\u1ebft n\u0103m 2026 v\u00e0 sang \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2027<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c v\u00f9ng tr\u1ed3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo d\u00f5i th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft<\/h3>\n

Theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ea5y trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e0i g\u1ed1c d\u1eabn l\u1ea1i, El Ni\u00f1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft n\u00f3ng v\u00e0 kh\u00f4 h\u01a1n t\u1ea1i \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1, \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9, Vi\u1ec7t Nam<\/strong> v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 v\u00f9ng tr\u1ed3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea c\u1ee7a Brazil<\/strong>. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c \u0110\u00f4ng Phi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 m\u01b0a nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng, c\u00f2n mi\u1ec1n nam ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 v\u00f9ng Nam M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 kh\u00f4 h\u1ea1n h\u01a1n m\u1ee9c trung b\u00ecnh.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng n\u00e0y v\u1eabn l\u00e0 nguy c\u01a1 theo d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o<\/strong>. C\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u1ed9 th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a El Ni\u00f1o v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eebng v\u1ee5 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea c\u1ea7n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c theo d\u00f5i.<\/p>\n

V\u1ee5 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea1t 31 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/h2>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft, ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 thu ho\u1ea1ch t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea \u0111\u01b0a ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng. Th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 v\u00e0 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m thu ho\u1ea1ch trong b\u00e0i g\u1ed1c nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p>\n

Giao d\u1ecbch tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc tr\u1ea7m l\u1eafng, ch\u1edd v\u1ee5 thu ho\u1ea1ch<\/h3>\n

Ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng giao d\u1ecbch c\u00e0 ph\u00ea t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7t Nam kh\u00e1 tr\u1ea7m l\u1eafng trong tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc. V\u1ee5 m\u1edbi, k\u00e9o d\u00e0i t\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 10\/2026 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 9\/2027<\/strong> v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu l\u00e0 robusta, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ea1t kho\u1ea3ng 31 tri\u1ec7u bao<\/strong>, gi\u1ea3m 6,91%<\/strong> so v\u1edbi ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ngu\u1ed3n tin cho r\u1eb1ng thu ho\u1ea1ch c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u trong nh\u1eefng tu\u1ea7n t\u1edbi n\u1ebfu th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed9 thu ho\u1ea1ch t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng tr\u1ed3ng tr\u1ecdng \u0111i\u1ec3m \u1edf T\u00e2y Nguy\u00ean t\u0103ng nhanh v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 11<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft Brazil \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng v\u1ee5 2027\u20132028<\/h2>\n

T\u1ea1i Brazil, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a ph\u1ee5c v\u1ee5 giai \u0111o\u1ea1n ra hoa, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi ch\u1edd th\u00eam th\u00f4ng tin v\u1ec1 v\u1ee5 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea ti\u1ebfp theo. C\u00e1c m\u1ed1c theo d\u00f5i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e0i g\u1ed1c n\u00eau g\u1ed3m.<\/p>\n

\"Th\u1eddi
Th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft Brazil \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng v\u1ee5 2027\u20132028<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

M\u01b0a t\u1ea1i v\u00f9ng tr\u1ed3ng ph\u00eda nam v\u00e0 d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng v\u1ee5 t\u1edbi<\/h3>\n

Tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft nh\u00ecn chung thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i t\u1ea1i ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn v\u00f9ng tr\u1ed3ng c\u00e0 ph\u00ea Brazil. C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia kh\u00ed t\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00f3 m\u01b0a r\u1ea3i r\u00e1c t\u1ea1i c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng tr\u1ed3ng ph\u00eda nam trong tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y. L\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a c\u00f3 vai tr\u00f2 k\u00edch th\u00edch c\u00e2y ra hoa cho ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 2027\u20132028<\/strong>, v\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c chu k\u1ef3 c\u00f3 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng cao trong nh\u1ecbp sinh tr\u01b0\u1edfng hai n\u0103m c\u1ee7a c\u00e2y c\u00e0 ph\u00ea.<\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o ban \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ni\u00ean v\u1ee5 t\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1edbm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo d\u00f5i l\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u01b0a m\u00f9a h\u00e8 \u0111\u1ebfn th\u00e1ng 12<\/strong> v\u00e0 c\u00e1c th\u00e1ng sau, c\u00f9ng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a El Ni\u00f1o. V\u1ee5 Brazil ti\u1ebfp theo d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00fa \u00fd r\u00f5 h\u01a1n t\u1eeb gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2027<\/strong>; s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng arabica v\u00e0 robusta s\u1ebd li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn nhu c\u1ea7u n\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ecba v\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb n\u1eeda cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2027 \u0111\u1ebfn gi\u1eefa n\u0103m 2028<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 Hai 12\/10 l\u00e0 d\u1ecbp ngh\u1ec9 L\u1ec5 \u0110\u1ee9c M\u1eb9 Aparecida<\/strong> t\u1ea1i Brazil. B\u00e0i g\u1ed1c nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh giao d\u1ecbch c\u00e0 ph\u00ea nh\u00e2n trong n\u01b0\u1edbc ng\u00e0y n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1ea7m l\u1eafng khi n\u00f4ng d\u00e2n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u t\u1ea1m ng\u1eebng ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Gi\u00e1 c\u00e0 ph\u00ea th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi k\u1ebft th\u00fac tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1edbi robusta g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111i ngang \u1edf k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n th\u00e1ng 11\/2026, trong khi c\u00e1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n arabica \u0111\u1ec1u t\u0103ng. B\u01b0\u1edbc sang tu\u1ea7n n\u00e0y, th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c theo d\u00f5i kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng El Ni\u00f1o m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a th\u1eddi ti\u1ebft \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng tr\u1ed3ng c\u00e0 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":50928,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_gspb_post_css":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[13],"tags":[3,239,194,48],"class_list":["post-50925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-tin-tuc","tag-ca-phe-arabica","tag-ca-phe-brazil","tag-ca-phe-hom-nay","tag-gia-ca-phe"],"blocksy_meta":[],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50925","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/6"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=50925"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50925\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":50929,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/50925\/revisions\/50929"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/50928"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=50925"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=50925"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edutrade.vn\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=50925"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}